Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.022022 0.028416 0.037228 0.050810 0.072346 0.107514 0.175506
2024-12-22 0.015146 0.021687 0.032277 0.052430 0.095228 0.201528 0.614653
2024-12-29 0.011792 0.017946 0.028941 0.053037 0.116979 0.351719 2.805885
2025-01-05 0.009421 0.014867 0.025203 0.050030 0.127278 0.523280 20.018536
2025-01-12 0.007956 0.012933 0.022864 0.048702 0.142041 0.836742 NaN
2025-01-19 0.007238 0.012176 0.022633 0.052657 0.185308 2.062117 NaN
2025-01-26 0.006816 0.011877 0.023283 0.059809 0.266763 10.266221 NaN
2025-02-02 0.006445 0.011587 0.023849 0.067443 0.391251 534.173882 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005876 0.010749 0.022753 0.068161 0.471887 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.005407 0.010050 0.021828 0.069079 0.575006 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.004987 0.009392 0.020844 0.069153 0.684483 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004555 0.008641 0.019412 0.066186 0.729340 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.004176 0.008026 0.018428 0.066049 0.899285 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.003885 0.007586 0.017892 0.068312 1.258434 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003610 0.007135 0.017196 0.069184 1.697437 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003290 0.006529 0.015844 0.064859 1.764652 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003048 0.006088 0.014944 0.062959 2.057880 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002937 0.005965 0.015086 0.068636 3.997861 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002879 0.005972 0.015685 0.079060 13.744050 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002817 0.005956 0.016209 0.090404 116.633849 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002673 0.005694 0.015719 0.091483 719.211361 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002544 0.005460 0.015289 0.092864 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002419 0.005222 0.014787 0.092975 NaN NaN NaN